By Antonio Navarra (auth.), Hans von Storch, Antonio Navarra (eds.)
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Additional resources for Analysis of Climate Variability: Applications of Statistical Techniques
If such multiple stable states exist, it should be possible to find bi- or multi-modal distributions in the observed data (if these states are weIl separated). Hansen and Sutera (1986) identified a bi-modal distribution in a variable characterizing the energy of the planetary-scale waves in the Northern Hemi2 to 4 for sphere winter. Daily amplitudes for the zonal wavenumbers k 500 hPa height were averaged for midlatitudes. A "wave-amplitude indicator" Z was finally obtained by subtracting the annual cyde and by filtering out all variability on time scales shorter than 5 days.
1990) have shown that the sea ice anomalies mainly lag the sea surface salinity anomalies and suggested that the latter had been caused by earlier run offs from northern Canada into the western Arctic Ocean. They then postulated the existence of a complex climate cycle in the Arctic involving advection along the subpolar gy re and changes in the convective overturning in the Greenland sea, but the role of the stochastic forcing by the atmosphere was not assessed. 11: Top: EOF 2 of North Atlantic SST anomalies based on unnormalized winter (November-March) means, for the period 1900-1989.
3, we must expect that on average at 15% of all points a "statistically significant trend" is found even though there is no trend but only "red noise". This finding is mostly independent of the time series length. 2. 4) The "prewhitened" time series is considerably less plagued by serial correlation, and the same Monte Carlo test as above returns actual rejections rates elose to the nominal one, at least for moderate autocorrelations and not too short time series. 4) affects also any trend; however, other Monte Carlo experiments have revealed that the power of the test is reduced only weakly as long as a is not too large.
Analysis of Climate Variability: Applications of Statistical Techniques by Antonio Navarra (auth.), Hans von Storch, Antonio Navarra (eds.)